MLB prop bets today [August 28, 2025]

The Boston Red Sox kick off Thursday’s slate of games with a divisional matchup against the Baltimore Orioles.

Heading into the final stretch of the season, the Boston Red Sox are still firmly in contention for the AL East title as they are just four games back from the Toronto Blue Jays for first in the division standings.

Heading into Thursday, the Red Sox will have a great opportunity to chip away at the Blue Jays lead as they face off against the Baltimore Orioles who severely struggle on offense.

With eight games taking place on Thursday, there are plenty of markets to browse through, which you can read a detailed breakdown of below.

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Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (1:05pm, EST)

Drew Rasmussen Over 4.5 Strikeouts: (-145) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Tarik Skubal has hogged the spotlight for the AL Cy Young award for a majority of the year, Garrett Crochet has kept pace with the Detroit Tigers ace as the Boston Red Sox pitcher is averaging an ERA of 2.38, a WHIP of 1.064, and a FIP of 2.58.

His success on the mound stems from his high Whiff Rate as Crochet is also averaging less than one Hit Allowed and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Heading into Thursday’s contest against Baltimore, Crochet will have the opportunity to generate Strikeouts at a more consistent rate as he faces off against an Orioles offense who ranks below league average in Team Total Hits and in Strikeout Rate.

For some more exposure, escalator bet Crochet’s Strikeout prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds.

Baltimore Orioles First Five Innings Team Total Under 1.5: (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Orioles struggles with making contact also hurts their ability of getting on base and in scoring position as their offense ranks below league average in RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.

Even with Red Sox back end underwhelming in coverage, Crochet possesses more than enough individual production to neutralize the Orioles offense as his low FIP indicates.

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros (2:10pm, EST)

Houston Astros First Five Innings Team Total Over 2.5: (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While Crochet has thrived this season, Kyle Freeland has severely struggled as the Colorado Rockies pitcher is currently 3-13 while averaging an ERA of 5.31, a FIP of 4.47, and nearly two runners on base per inning. His low level of play can be attributed to his struggles with avoiding contact as Freeland is also averaging over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

Unfortunately for Freeland, his struggles on the mound are poised to persist as he faces off against a Houston Astros offense who ranks in the top half of the board in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage.

Especially when Freeland is supported by the worst back end in the league as the Rockies defense ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Total Bases: (-160) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Jeremy Pena has played a major role in Houston’s resurgence on offense as the Astros batter is currently averaging over one Hit per game, a .307 Batting Average, and a .844 OPS. Expect Pena to take advantage of Freeland’s lack of command and make contact at a consistent rate to help clear the over on his Total Bases prop.

Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants (3:45pm, EST)

San Francisco Giants First Five Innings Team Total Under 1.5: (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After entering the year listed as a potential contender for the NL West division title, the San Francisco Giants have severely underperformed as they are currently 12 games back for first.

Their lack of production on offense has been a thorn in their side all season long as their lineup ranks below league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage.

With Shota Imanaga getting the start on Thursday, the Giants struggles on offense will be on full display as the Chicago Cubs pitcher averages an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 0.936.

Imanaga is also supported by a very productive defense as the Cubs rank top-4 in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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