Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley predictions and betting tips – Frank to claim home win

Tottenham Hotspur lost the UEFA Super Cup to Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday, but there were plenty of positives to take from their performance. Attention now turns to the Premier League and the visit of Burnley.

Will Thomas Frank’s team prove too strong for the promoted outfit, or can Scott Parker’s charges upset the odds by getting a result in north London?

• Tottenham to win to nil – 23/20 with BetMGM
• Josh Cullen to be booked – 5/2 with Tote
• Mohammed Kudus to score or assist – 17/20 with Midnite

Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley odds

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Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley predictions

How close they were.

On Wednesday night, Tottenham Hotspur were mere moments away from winning a second European trophy in a matter of months. Leading Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 in the UEFA Super Cup, Spurs just needed to keep their opponents at bay for a little while longer to claim the prize.

They could not quite manage it. PSG struck in the fifth minute of second-half stoppage time through Goncalo Ramos, then went on to win on penalties.

Tottenham had taken the lead through Micky van de Ven in the 39th minute, before his fellow centre-back Cristian Romero doubled their advantage shortly after the break.

At that point Spurs were in dreamland, leading the Champions League winners 2-0 in their first competitive game under new manager Thomas Frank.

PSG hit back in the 85th minute, as Lee Kang-in halved the deficit. Then it was down to Ramos to break Tottenham hearts late on.

With the momentum against them, it was always going to be tough for Frank’s side to triumph on spot-kicks. And so it proved, as misses from Van de Ven and Mathys Tel allowed PSG to win 4-3.

Still, there were plenty of positives for Frank to take from his team’s performance in Udine. 

Tottenham were frequently too open under Ange Postecoglou last term, and there were immediate signs of more pragmatism in their play on Wednesday.

Spurs were not afraid to play the ball long and they also carried more of a threat from set-pieces, scoring twice. The strategy will need to be different this weekend, though, with Tottenham set to have much more of the ball than they did against PSG.

Frank showed himself to be an adaptable coach at Brentford, and Tottenham fans will be looking to see that quality on display when Burnley come to town.

Brentford under Frank did not dominate the ball very often. Last season they ranked 15th for average possession. Frank must show that he can coach attacking patterns to break down deep defences.

Burnley are unlikely to be too adventurous on matchday one. They failed to adapt their style the last time they won promotion, and that cost Vincent Kompany’s side their place in the division. We can expect less dogmatism under Scott Parker, a former Tottenham player.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley betting tips

Tottenham Hotspur begin the Thomas Frank era in the Premier League this weekend.

Tottenham to win to nil

Burnley conceded only 16 goals in the Championship last term, which works out as roughly one goal every three games.

That was a remarkable achievement, but it is worth noting that Parker’s team ‘should’ have conceded 16 more goals based on their xG against.

James Trafford, the goalkeeper who helped them be so miserly, has since joined Manchester City, with Martin Dubravka signed as his replacement.

Dubravka is in for a busy afternoon, while at the other end of the field his attacking team-mates will have to make the most of the limited opportunities they have.

A clean sheet in Frank’s first home game would bode well for Tottenham given their defensive struggles last time out. We like their chances of getting one.

Back Tottenham to win to nil at 23/20 with BetMGM

Josh Cullen to be booked

Only five players in the Championship received more yellow cards than Josh Cullen this season – and that was while he was playing for one of the best teams in the division.

An all-action midfielder who is not afraid to get stuck in, Cullen will be key to Burnley’s chances of avoiding defeat at Tottenham.

He will be tasked with breaking up play in the centre of the park whenever possible, and Parker will allow him to do that by fair means or foul.

Cullen had his name taken by referees on 11 occasions last term, while he received nine yellows in the top flight the season before.

Do not be surprised if Cullen is booked in north London this weekend.

Tip Josh Cullen to be booked at 5/2 with Tote

Mohammed Kudus to score or assist

Having used a 3-5-2 that often resembled a 5-3-2 against PSG, Frank is likely to switch to a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation here.

That will probably mean a different role for Mohammed Kudus, a summer signing from West Ham who started up top with Richarlison on Wednesday.

Kudus played in a number of different positions at the London Stadium: on the left, on the right, as a No.10 and as a centre-forward.

If Frank wants to get him and Brennan Johnson into the same XI, Kudus will probably be deployed on the left.

Wherever he plays, the Ghana international will carry a threat. A supremely creative player when he is on song, Kudus can either assist a team-mate or score himself against Burnley.

Choose Mohammed Kudus to score or assist at 17/20 with Midnite

Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley predicted lineups

• Tottenham Hotspur expected lineup: Vicario; Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence; Bentancur, Sarr, Palhinha; Kudus, Richarlison, Johnson.
• Burnley expected lineup: Dubravka; Walker, Esteve, Ekdal, Hartman; Laurent, Hannibal, Cullen; Edwards, Bruun Larsen, Anthony.

Where to watch Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley

• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England.
• Date and time: Saturday 16th August, 3pm.
• How to watch: Not being shown live in the UK.

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About the author

Greg Lea

Greg Lea is a freelance football writer from London. He predominantly covers the Premier League and has had work published by the Guardian, FourFourTwo, ESPN and others.

Follow Greg on X: @GregLeaFootball

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